Blackjack Probabilities and Winning Odds
This article will cover Blackjack probabilities with a focus on your percentage chance of going bust if you hit your hand. It will also look at a players Blackjack winning odds and how playing perfect strategy can affect the house edge.
At the end of the article we will show you where you can play Blackjack online and reduce the house edge even further. We’ve found some great Blackjack clearable casino bonuses so make sure you check them out!
Blackjack probabilities if you intend to hit
The following is a list of Blackjack probabilities if you intend to hit your hand. For example you’ll see that if you hold 15 in your hand and intend to hit then you have a 58% chance of going bust. Obviously if you hit 21 you’d be crazy but we put that in there as well as 11 which is impossible to bust.
11 – 0%
12 – 31%
13 – 39%
14 – 56%
15 – 58%
16 – 62%
17 – 69%
18 – 77%
19 – 85%
20 – 92%
21 – 100%
It’s interesting to note that you are an odds on favourite to hit thirteen and not go bust but the minute you start hitting 14 you are a favourite to bust your hand.
Blackjack Winning Odds
Overall you’ll find that most Blackjack games you play in the house have an edge of between 6% and 8%. This is assuming the player isn’t playing perfect strategy or counting cards which has the potential to allow players to gain an edge over the house.
If you employ perfect strategy then you can bring the house edge right down to less than 1%. The vast majority of players can’t be bothered to actually learn perfect Blackjack strategy but the beauty of playing Blackjack online is that you can sit there with your Blackjack strategy table and make perfect decisions every single time you play!
For a guide to playing perfect Blackjack strategy click this Blackjack strategy table link. You have no time limit on your decisions when playing online so you’ll be able to use it while you play and eventually you’ll learn it off by heart without even trying.
Improve you chance of winning at Blackjack online
We have three suggestions that online Blackjack players should follow if they want their Blackjack winning odds to improve when they play online.
1) Print out and use a Blackjack strategy table which will allow you to play perfect Blackjack. You don’t even need to know Blackjack probabilities if you do this because the table does the hard work for you and reduces the house edge to 0.05%!
2) If you are from the USA then we suggest you use the Bodog online casino when you play Blackjack online. They allow players to clear their 10% instant deposit bonus on the Blackjack tables and the bonus only has a 15 times play through requirement!
3) Anyone living outside the USA is welcome to play at the Betfair online casino. They have zero edge Blackjack tables running which mean that if you play perfect strategy the house edge will actually be nothing. It’s a totally pure gamble!
